Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts

Thursday, December 8, 2011

Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida polls

CNN released a batch of four polls today at 4 PM Eastern:

Iowa: Newt 33, Romney 20.

New Hampshire: Romney 35, Gingrich 26.

South Carolina: Newt 43, Romney 20.

Florida: Newt 48, Romney 25.

---

In Iowa, Newt gets 35% support from women and 32% from men.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

PPP Florida poll: Newt 47%, Romney 17, Cain 15

You read that right -- 47%.

Public Policy Polling, which did the survey, gives "one of the key emerging trends in the Republican race -- Gingrich isn't just rising, Romney's also falling."

More from PPP: "The biggest reason for Newt Gingrich's rise is that he's picked up the voters of Herman Cain and Rick Perry as their campaigns have fallen apart. But these numbers make it pretty clear he's doing more than that- some of Mitt Romney's '25%' is starting to fall off and move toward Newt as well."

Newt leads among both tea partiers -- getting 53% of them, compared to 24% for Cain and just 7% for Romney.

But Newt also beats Romney among moderates -- 33-22%.

Newt's favorability is 72/21.

Gingrich is especially strong among older voters. "Republican primary electorates can skew pretty old so Gingrich's support on that front bodes very well moving forward," writes PPP. But that's not to say Newt only gets the support of older voters -- he wins every age group.

PPP also points out that Newt could still improve. That's because Cain could very easily drop further -- and since 45% of Cain's supporters say Newt is their second choice.

On the recent dust up on immigration: 57% support Newt's policy. 20% oppose.

Newt's favorability among men: 76-23. Women: 67-19. 48% of men support. 45% of women. Just a huge gap!

Florida poll: Newt 41%, Romney 17, Cain 13

“I have not seen a lead this large, this late in a Republican presidential primary season since I have been polling,” said [Matt] Towery, who notes that his firm has never missed identifying the winner in Florida’s statewide contests.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

Terrific polling news!

None of these polls have been fully released, so more details to come:

Iowa:
InsiderAdvantage also reporting brand new poll in Iowa tonight. Shows Gingrich on top with 28, Ron Paul is closest to him with 13. (link)
New Hampshire:
New InsiderAdvantage poll to be released tomorrow shows Romney and Gingrich in a statistical dead heat in New Hampshire. (link)
South Carolina:
New InsiderAdvantage poll from SC tonight! Gingrich 38, Romney 15, Cain 13, Paul 7, Perry 4, Bachman 3, Santorum 2, Someone else 5, undec 13 (link)
Florida:
Newt with big lead on 1st night of our FL poll...he and Romney may be only ones over 10% and he's uniting anti-Mitt vote (link)

Sunday, November 27, 2011

"Gingrich attracts another record crowd, defends immigration policy."

That was the headline from NBC News. "For more than four hours, a long line wrapped around the entire top floor of Books-A-Million here just to have the chance to visit briefly with Newt Gingrich and his wife, Callista."

“Frankly, like the bookstore, we are a little overwhelmed by the turnout here this morning,” the former House speaker told the more than 650 people who came out Saturday to copies of the Gingrich’s books autographed. “So thank you all for being here.”

"[Gingrich] also added about those who he spoke with Saturday: 'it’s very interesting, the number of people who say I appreciate and agree with your position on immigration was substantial and no one said they were offended.' "

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Around 1000 people hear Newt speak in Naples, Florida

On Friday, Newt held a town hall in Naples, Florida that nearly 1000 -- if not 1000 people -- attended.

From an article about the event:
Recent polls have shown the former house speaker at or near the top of the Republican presidential field, along with Mitt Romney. During a televised debate Tuesday, some Republicans and pundits thought Gingrich may have risked that status when he said he favored pathways to legal status for illegal immigrants who have lived peaceful, law-abiding, taxpaying lives in the United States for many years.

Other Republican candidates were quick to condemn his remarks. But his ideas didn't seem to alienate the folks in Naples — the crowd was enthusiastic with his appearance and wildly applauded many of his remarks, including his outline on how to handle illegal immigration in the U.S.

"It's an extremely difficult question," said Patrick Moody, a 57-year-old Baptist minister from West Palm Beach who said he will likely vote for him in the important Florida primary. "He's got a measured, realistic view of the situation. His views make sense."
From another:
Is Newt Gingrich the latest flavor of the month among the candidates pursuing the Republican nomination for president? Or is he a real candidate who can beat early favorite Mitt Romney?

If the reaction from his appearance Friday in Naples is even the slightest indication, then the former Speaker of the House will indeed challenge Romney for a spot on the ticket to face President Barack Obama next November.
As the first story makes clear, and as Newt has made clear, nothing happens until the border is secure.

Friday, November 18, 2011

(Video) Newt to Occupy hecklers: "There is no such thing in America as the 99%"

This happened when Newt was speaking Thursday at a Jacksonville tea party rally with maybe 1000 people:

Link to video from.

Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Two more polls, one national and one of Florida, show Newt in third

The national one showing Newt in third was conducted by Rasmussen Reports. The Florida poll was done by American Research Group.

Unfortunately, neither poll has the in-depth findings like the PPP surveys, so there's not much info beyond the simple headline. (No favorability ratings, for example.)

But it's more evidence that Newt is going up and that Perry continues to drop.

To keep the Newt 2012 train going, please consider giving what you can in terms or money or volunteering.

Today, a great Newt supporter, Susan Reaney, tweeted:
I have a part-time job but I managed to find $10 to support the Newt Gingrich campaign @Newt2012HQ https://www.newt.org/donate

Monday, October 10, 2011

(Video) Newt at Versailles Restaurant in Miami

(This is older, almost a month old, but there really hasn't been a time to post it before now.)

Link.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Today's PPP survey on Florida Republicans

On Monday, Public Policy Polling teased their upcoming poll of Florida Republicans. Today they released the full results. (To be clear, the poll was taken partially before last Thursday's debate and partially after.)

As they said on Monday, Newt is in third place, behind Romney and Perry. Newt's the only other Republican in double digits.

And a reason that Newt can expect to go up in the polls: his favorability in this poll, as I wrote Monday, is higher than Perry's. And Newt shows good numbers across the board: he's 43/37 among moderate GOPers, 54/26 among conservatives, and 72/22 among very conservative voters.

Perry is way under water among moderates, at 29/53.

Monday, September 26, 2011

Two great polls for Newt 2012

The headlines, rightfully, are going to Newt's standing in the latest CNN Poll, which has him at 10% with Sarah Palin included. That's good for third, and the only other candidate besides Romney and Perry in double digits.

But Public Policy Polling (PPP), a Democratic firm, teased their full Florida GOP poll yesterday with two very positive tidbits:
Newt actually more popular with FL Republicans (+28 at 57/29) now than Perry is (+23 at 54/31) (Link)
Newt is the only Republican besides Romney and Perry in double digits in Florida. (Link)
There was also this one, which did not apply directly to Newt, but to how damaging the debate could have been for Perry:
Thursday night part of our Florida poll Romney led Perry by 2. Friday-Sunday part Romney led Perry by 10. Debate did matter.

(Video) Newt's speech at Florida Faith and Freedom Coalition

Link.



(This video appears to be just a section -- at just under seven minutes -- of the speech, but it's all I can find. If I find the whole thing, I will post it.)

Monday, September 19, 2011

Newt's schedule for the next few days

Monday, September 19th:

Council Bluffs, IA – 6:00 p.m. CT – 912 Western Iowa hosts Newt and Callista for a screening of their documentary A City Upon A Hill.

Tuesday, September 20th:

Sioux City, IA – 2:00 p.m. CT – Lead at a Town Hall meeting at Morningside College with students, faculty and local citizens.

Thursday, September 22nd:

Orlando, FL – 4:30 p.m. ET – Participate in the Florida Faith & Freedom Coalition Presidency V Kick-Off.

Orlando, FL – 9:00 p.m. ET – Participate in the Fox News-Google Republican Presidential Primary debate.

Friday, September 23rd:

Orlando, FL – 7:30 a.m. ET – Speak at CPAC-Florida Chairman’s Breakfast.

Orlando, FL – 9:45 a.m. ET – Address attendees of CPAC-Florida.

Orlando, FL – 2:15 p.m. ET – Newt and Callista introduce their documentary Ronald Reagan: Rendezvous with Destiny at CPAC-Florida on the third level in room S330C.

Saturday, September 24th:

Orlando, FL – 1:30 pm ET – Address attendees of Presidency V. NOTE: Newt 2012 is not actively campaigning to win the straw poll.

NOTE: Newt will campaign in Iowa on September 29th and 30th prior to traveling to Kansas City, MO to participate in the National Federation of Republican Women's 36th Biennial Convention on October 1st.

Saturday, September 17, 2011

InsiderAdvantage Florida poll and NYT/CBS National poll

The two most recent polls (as far as i know) have been a poll of just Florida by InsiderAdvantage and a national poll by The New York Times and CBS.

The Florida results, again taken before the latest debate, showed Newt in third place. 21.1% of the respondents were undecided.

The NYT/CBS poll, which was partially conducted before the debate as well as after, show Newt tied for third with Michelle Bachmann, with 22% undecided.

The Florida poll did not ask (or at least the results are not on the above link), but the national poll asked how committed those asked were to their candidate of choice. What the numbers show is that the support for both Romney and Perry is anything but firm, with Perry having an edge over the former Massachusetts Governor. But combined with the undecideds totaling about a a fifth of the electorate, there is clearly plenty of room for Newt to gain should he and his campaign keep the momentum going. (That also does not the supporters of candidates who may end up dropping out of the race.)

What's clear from these two polls and others from the past week: Newt is moving up, either tied or leading Bachmann in each. And that while Perry and Romney are leading at this moment -- just as Bachmann was a month ago and Donald Trump was five months ago -- they are not locked in by any means.

And of course, with the better poll numbers, more people will step forward to give money to Newt 2012 or give their time. Which, in turn, will drive up the numbers. Which will lead to more contributions and volunteers. Which...well, you get the idea.

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Newt's day in Florida

Newt had a packed schedule today in Florida.

Here are two pictures of a lunch he attended:


Picture 2:


Newt's Coalitions Director, Adam Waldeck, tweeted a quote from Newt's speech along with the second picture:
.@newtgingrich -- I have a plan to create American energy. President Obama has a plan to buy Brazilian energy.
Then it was onto a Tea Party town hall put on by the East Side Tea Party.

Waldeck again tweeted from Newt's speech:
Newt to @EastSideTea: "This is not the American Jobs Act, it's the Bigger Govt, Bigger Deficit Act."
He attached this picture to that tweet:


And another picture, this of the crowd:


With that last picture, Adam wrote:
Big thanks to @EastSideTea for putting together a great town hall in downtown Orlando.

One of those who attended the town hall was Steven Lindsley, who tweeted:
great talk with newt gingrich. Got a picture and he signed my copy of his book!
Here is that picture:


Newt's next step was a speech at the Ronald Reagan GOP Assemblies of Florida Reagan Dinner.

The topic was the way Reagan wrote and delivered speeches. The chairwoman of the Hillsborough County Republican Party, Deborah Cox-Roush, tweeted from the event:
The speech tonite was not political and @newtgingrich portrayed great historical insight on Reagan
She sent this picture along:


Sarah Rumpf live-tweeted much of the speech, and here is one of them:
"Reagan didn't make big speeches as bluffs," knew what he was doing, & was focused/ purposeful about it. ~ @newtgingrich #SeminoleReaganDay

Finally, Newt attended the Seminole High School Class of 1950 and 1951 Reunion, and here's a picture from that:

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Roundup of some PPP polls without Huckabee and Palin

Mike Huckabee tonight has announced he will not run for the 2012 Republican nomination. And while Sarah Palin has not announced she will not, almost all indications point to her staying out of the race.

Thus, I will re-post some polls that Public Policy Polling (PPP) has conducted the past couple of months that did not include the two former Governors:

An early April poll of Florida:
Gingrich: 30%
Mitt Romney: 28%
Michelle Bachmann: 11%
Tim Pawlenty: 10%
Ron Paul: 9%
A mid-April poll of Iowa (in which Donald Trump was also not included):
Romney: 28%
Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 16%
Bachmann: 15%
A mid-March nationwide GOP poll:
Gingrich and Romney: 24%
Paul: 12%
Pawlenty: 6%
Haley Barbour and Rick Santorum 5%
May 10 nationwide GOP poll:
Romney: 28%
Gingrich: 26%
Paul: 12%
Bachmann: 11%

Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Newt the leader in Florida if Huckabee and Palin stay out

Public Policy Polling has a series of Florida GOP Primary polls out today. They conducted a poll that had both Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee in the field, one with just Palin, one with just Huckabee, one with neither, and one with both out.

Palin and Huckabee included:
Gingrich: 18%
Huckabee: 18%
Mitt Romney: 18%
Palin: 15%
Michelle Bachmann: 7%
Tim Pawlenty: 6%
Ron Paul: 6%
Palin but no Huckabee:
Gingrich: 24%
Romney: 23%
Palin: 14$
Paul: 9%
Huckabee but no Palin:
Huckabee: 24%
Gingrich: 22%
Romney: 22%
Bachmann: 9%
Neither Huckabee nor Palin:
Gingrich: 30%
Romney: 28%
Bachmann: 11%
Pawlenty: 10%
Paul: 9%
The results mirror other PPP polls insofar as Newt is the beneficiary if Huckabee and/or Palin do not run.
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