My guess is that Newt would be able to eat into the support of Huckabee and Palin even if they do decide to run -- meaning his candidacy is not doomed if one or both run -- but it would save a lot of time if they decide to not get into the race.
Here are the numbers from Public Policy Polling:
With Donald Trump, Huckabee, and Palin:
Huckabee: 27%Without just Trump:
Romney: 16%
Trump: 14%
Gingrich: 9%
Huckabee: 30%Without Huckabee and Trump:
Romney: 18%
Gingrich: 12%
Palin: 12%
Romney: 25%Without Trump, Huckabee, and Palin:
Gingrich: 15%
Palin: 15%
Ron Paul: 15%
Romney: 28%Trump is being hammered over some of his very liberal positions in the past by the Club for Growth, and now after Huckabee defended Trump against the pro-market group, Huckabee's past record of tax increases may get more play.
Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 16%
Michelle Bachmann: 15%
Romney also figures to drop in the poll as PPP found that just 11% of Iowa Republican caucus-goers would support someone who passed a state-level insurance mandate.
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